Friday, September 30, 2016

When The Obvious Becomes "Debatable"

Fig. 1 Sea Level
I. The Spy Boss Knows

Notice this quote from the Security arm of the Director of the National Intelligence Agencies (DNI):
"This memorandum was prepared by the National Intelligence Council and was coordinated with the US Intelligence Community.

Long-term changes in climate will produce more extreme weather events and put greater stress on critical Earth systems like oceans, freshwater, and biodiversity. These in turn will almost certainly have significant effects, both direct and indirect, across social, economic, political, and security realms during the next 20 years. These effects will be all the more pronounced as people continue to concentrate in climate-vulnerable locations, such as coastal areas, water-stressed regions, and ever-growing cities."
(Report RE Climate Change, cf. Same in PDF). That memorandum mentions sea level rise several times, in the context of a threat to national security.

Fig. 2 Ocean Temperatures
Both the military and the spies have known of the dangers to national security for at least a decade or so (Global Climate & Homeland Insecurity, 2).

Another branch of government, the congress, was loudly informed in 1988 (Global Warming Has Begun, Expert Tells Senate).

II. So Why Doesn't The Warming Commentariat Know?

"We" know that Humble Oil-Qaeda, now known as ExxonMobil, has known that it has been responsible for sea level rise for a long time.

That is, Humble Oil-Qaeda knows what causes sea level rise.

In 1962 they even put a centerfold, two page advertisement in Life magazine bragging about it:
“This giant glacier has remained unmelted for centuries ... Yet, the petroleum energy Humble [now ExxonMobil] supplies — if converted into heat — could melt it at the rate of 80 tons each second!
(Humble Oil-Qaeda). Thus, if sea level rise is caused by ice sheet and glacial melt (a national security threat according to the national security agency memo quoted above in Section I), then Humble Oil-Qaeda is itself a threat to national security.

Fig. 3 Sea Level
Wouldn't that be a wake-up call for them to begin to avoid that issue, by diverting the focus?

And wouldn't that explain why Oil-Qaeda has been spreading their word through the warming science commentariat no less (The Warming Science Commentariat, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8) ?

I mean spreading the word that the ocean expands from sunlight hitting the sunlight zone (Epipelagic Magic).

Don't laugh, they have spread this "magic," like they have spread pollution of the ocean depths, into the deepest scientific depths:
"As the ocean warms, the density decreases and thus even at constant mass the volume of the ocean increases. This thermal expansion (or steric sea level rise) occurs at all ocean temperatures and is one of the major contributors to sea level changes during the 20th and 21st centuries" (IPCC).

Fig. 4 Ocean Temperatures
"About half of the past century's rise in sea level is attributable to warmer oceans simply occupying more space" (National Geographic).

"Rising temperatures are warming ocean waters, which expand as the temperature increases. This thermal expansion was the main driver of global sea level rise for 75 - 100 years after the start of the Industrial Revolution" (Union of Concerned Scientists)..

" ... global sea level rises 0.26 m by 2100, and 0.56 m by 2199 through steric [thermal] expansion; " (Journal of Physical Oceanography, PDF).
(On The Evolution of Sea Level Change - 2). This is no joke, it is the work of a madness unparalleled in human history (Oil-Qaeda & MOMCOM Conspire To Commit Depraved-Heart Murder, 2, 3).

III. But What About The Graphs Dredd?

Oh yeah, oops.

The graphs at Fig. 1 and Fig. 2 concern the West Coast of the U.S.eh?

The graphs at Fig. 3 and Fig. 4 concern the East Coast of the U.S.eh?

The data used to generate them, as usual, is from the World Ocean Database (WOD) and the Permanent Service for Mean Sea Level (PSMSL) database.

If thermal expansion is the MAJOR cause of sea level rise, why is sea level falling in those zones as ocean temperatures warm (Fig. 1, Fig. 2) ?

And why is sea level rising in the zones where the temperatures are falling (Fig. 3, Fig. 4) ?

Here is an analysis of the Fig. 1 and Fig. 2 data (WOD zones):
WOD Zone: 7716 (all figures in deg. C)

Concerning temperature trends, there
were 43 upward & 54 downward trends.

Net changes per level were:
  • 0-200m = -0.51873
  • 200-400m = -0.0067689
  • 400-600m = 0.226408
  • 600-800m = -0.09294
  • 800-1000m = -1.82532
  • 1000-3000m = -0.365015
Net change for 6 levels: -2.58236
Years involved: 1971 -> 2015 (44 yrs)

Average change per year:
  • (-2.58236 ÷ 44): -0.05869


WOD Zone: 7715 (all figures in deg. C)

Concerning temperature trends, there
were 66 upward & 60 downward trends.

Net changes per level were:
  • 0-200m = 0.223065
  • 200-400m = -0.199512
  • 400-600m = 0.118274
  • 600-800m = 0.089372
  • 800-1000m = -0.00988184
  • 1000-3000m = 0.011626
  • >3000m = 0.007874
Net change for 7 levels: 0.240818
Years involved: 1971 -> 2015 (44 yrs)

Average change per year:
  • (0.240818 ÷ 44): 0.00547313


WOD Zone: 7616 (all figures in deg. C)

Concerning temperature trends, there
were 22 upward & 15 downward trends.

Net changes per level were:
  • 0-200m = 2.25208
Net change for 1 levels: 2.25208
Years involved: 1974 -> 2015 (41 yrs)

Average change per year:
  • (2.25208 ÷ 41): 0.0549288


WOD Zone: 7516 (all figures in deg. C)

Concerning temperature trends, there
were 106 upward & 118 downward trends.

Net changes per level were:
  • 0-200m = -0.05813
  • 200-400m = -0.46003
  • 400-600m = -0.21572
  • 600-800m = -0.28918
  • 800-1000m = -0.29733
  • 1000-3000m = -0.38789
  • >3000m = -0.02305
Net change for 7 levels: -1.73133
Years involved: 1974 -> 2016 (42 yrs)

Average change per year:
  • (-1.73133 ÷ 42): -0.0412221


WOD Zone: 7515 (all figures in deg. C)

Concerning temperature trends, there
were 107 upward & 120 downward trends.

Net changes per level were:
  • 0-200m = 2.1308
  • 200-400m = 0.02524
  • 400-600m = 0.25607
  • 600-800m = 0.37842
  • 800-1000m = 0.3559
  • 1000-3000m = 0.41773
  • >3000m = 0.00464
Net change for 7 levels: 3.5688
Years involved: 1967 -> 2016 (49 yrs)

Average change per year:
  • (3.5688 ÷ 49): 0.0728327


WOD Zone: 7514 (all figures in deg. C)

Concerning temperature trends, there
were 156 upward & 148 downward trends.

Net changes per level were:
  • 0-200m = 2.85966
  • 200-400m = 0.2249
  • 400-600m = 0.22225
  • 600-800m = 0.20276
  • 800-1000m = 0.15983
  • 1000-3000m = -0.18921
  • >3000m = -0.06869
Net change for 7 levels: 3.4115
Years involved: 1967 -> 2016 (49 yrs)

Average change per year:
  • (3.4115 ÷ 49): 0.0696224


WOD Zone: 7513 (all figures in deg. C)

Concerning temperature trends, there
were 113 upward & 115 downward trends.

Net changes per level were:
  • 0-200m = 2.71698
  • 200-400m = 0.18326
  • 400-600m = -0.48497
  • 600-800m = 0.22401
  • 800-1000m = 0.16605
  • 1000-3000m = 0.24659
Net change for 6 levels: 3.05192
Years involved: 1967 -> 2016 (49 yrs)

Average change per year:
  • (3.05192 ÷ 49): 0.0622841


WOD Zone: 7512 (all figures in deg. C)

Concerning temperature trends, there
were 108 upward & 118 downward trends.

Net changes per level were:
  • 0-200m = 0.41775
  • 200-400m = 1.46936
  • 400-600m = 0.73452
  • 600-800m = -1.10376
  • 800-1000m = -0.01924
  • 1000-3000m = -1.02517
Net change for 6 levels: 0.47346
Years involved: 1966 -> 2015 (49 yrs)

Average change per year:
  • (0.47346 ÷ 49): 0.00966245


WOD Zone: 7412 (all figures in deg. C)

Concerning temperature trends, there
were 138 upward & 146 downward trends.

Net changes per level were:
  • 0-200m = 0.0926
  • 200-400m = 0.83028
  • 400-600m = 0.45895
  • 600-800m = 0.23522
  • 800-1000m = 0.24281
  • 1000-3000m = -0.28187
Net change for 6 levels: 1.57799
Years involved: 1966 -> 2016 (50 yrs)

Average change per year:
  • (1.57799 ÷ 50): 0.0315598


WOD Zone: 7312 (all figures in deg. C)

Concerning temperature trends, there
were 113 upward & 117 downward trends.

Net changes per level were:
  • 0-200m = -0.7783
  • 200-400m = 0.46787
  • 400-600m = 0.33146
  • 600-800m = -0.1454
  • 800-1000m = -0.25826
  • 1000-3000m = -2.26463
  • >3000m = 0.05971
Net change for 7 levels: -2.58755
Years involved: 1961 -> 2016 (55 yrs)

Average change per year:
  • (-2.58755 ÷ 55): -0.0470464


WOD Zone: 7311 (all figures in deg. C)

Concerning temperature trends, there
were 85 upward & 79 downward trends.

Net changes per level were:
  • 0-200m = 1.7902
  • 200-400m = -0.04136
  • 400-600m = -0.01788
  • 600-800m = -0.44997
  • 800-1000m = 0.07329
  • 1000-3000m = 0.97109
  • >3000m = -0.03354
Net change for 7 levels: 2.29183
Years involved: 1969 -> 2016 (47 yrs)

Average change per year:
  • (2.29183 ÷ 47): 0.0487623


Combined averages for 11 total WOD Zones
(temperatures are in deg. C)

Concerning change trends, the mean average
was 96 upward & 99 downward trends.

Average changes per depth level were:
  • 0-200m = 1.01163
  • 200-400m = 0.226658
  • 400-600m = 0.148124
  • 600-800m = -0.0864971
  • 800-1000m = -0.128377
  • 1000-3000m = -0.260614
  • >3000m = -0.00482327
Average change, all 7 levels: 0.906105

Years involved: 1961 -> 2016 (55 yrs)

Average annual combined change:
  • (0.906105 ÷ 55): 0.0164746 C per year


IV. So Why Does The Citizenry Have To Sue Humble Oil-Qaeda?

Gotta try something?

In this context, historically the government through the Judicial Branch has protected Oil-Qaeda when it has been sued, because:
Here's the core constitutional fact: a progressive president and Congress now face a conservative judiciary, for the first time since 1937. Obama's ambitious agenda, if enacted, must go before federal courts—where judges can rewrite or strike down key provisions.
(A Case of Big Oil vs. Climate Change, 2). In that case the judges voted to have an en banc hearing, then recused themselves so that the case could not be heard (the judicially honest thing to do was recuse before, not after).

In the Oil-Qaeda oriented 5th circuit (covering oil states like Texas) most of the judges in the federal courts once lawyered for or are sympathetic to Oil-Qaeda.

Thus, they are the majority in (at least) one of the branches of government.

In other cases in less conservative circuits, the picture is also bleak (What Next, Mass Depraved-Heart Murder? - 2).

Maybe in Boston, where the runaways from England landed (hey pilgrim!), there will be a different result (CLV v Humble Oil-Qaeda) ?

Not likely.

V. The Problem Is Psychological,
Not Economic, Not Legal, Not Political

I will close with a quote from some of Sigmund's works:
If the evolution of civilization has such a far reaching similarity with the development of an individual, and if the same methods are employed in both, would not the diagnosis be justified that many systems of civilization——or epochs of it——possibly even the whole of humanity——have become neurotic under the pressure of the civilizing trends? To analytic dissection of these neuroses, therapeutic recommendations might follow which could claim a great practical interest. I would not say that such an attempt to apply psychoanalysis to civilized society would be fanciful or doomed to fruitlessness. But it behooves us to be very careful, not to forget that after all we are dealing only with analogies, and that it is dangerous, not only with men but also with concepts, to drag them out of the region where they originated and have matured. The diagnosis of collective neuroses, moreover, will be confronted by a special difficulty. In the neurosis of an individual we can use as a starting point the contrast presented to us between the patient and his environment which we assume to be normal. No such background as this would be available for any society similarly affected; it would have to be supplied in some other way. And with regard to any therapeutic application of our knowledge, what would be the use of the most acute analysis of social neuroses, since no one possesses power to compel the community to adopt the therapy? In spite of all these difficulties, we may expect that one day someone will venture upon this research into the pathology of civilized communities. [p. 39] ... Men have brought their powers of subduing the forces of nature to such a pitch that by using them they could now very easily exterminate one another to the last man. They know this——hence arises a great part of their current unrest, their dejection, their mood of apprehension. [p. 40]
(The Authoritarianism of Climate Change, quoting Civilization and Its Discontents, S. Freud, 1929, emphasis added).


Everybody Knows, by Leonard Cohen (lyrics here):


2 comments:

  1. GREAT post, Dredd! Yeah, I knew this wouldn't go anywhere, since the whole system has been captured by Wall Street and giant corporations (and their lobbyists). Perhaps, if the citizenry (armed to the teeth) get mad enough, we'll see some awful mob justice start taking out the colluders in the government and marauding Big Oil's corporate offices (as well as their outlets) when the chaos abounds (a bit later in the collapse). In the meantime, it looks like business as usual until the whole thing falls apart and CAN'T work any longer.

    We're so clever a species that we've conned ourselves into oblivion!

    Tom

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  2. One thing seems out of cosmic balance ... why didn't DT select SP I or II for vice donald ? link

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